Research Programme

The overall framework for the research will be the UKCIP risk and decision making methodology. This involves a circular process, allowing the performance of decisions to be reviewed in an iterative fashion. The screening, evaluation and prioritisation of climate risks and options are then possible.

The research agenda is set out as a series of interlinked research questions. Click on any of the links below to understand the Research Approach

Q1: Understanding climate related visitor response
How does weather influence and interact with visitor behaviour, especially day visits and short breaks?

Q2: Exploring visitor response to climate change
How might regional patterns of visitor behaviour (tourist demand) be expected to change under the UKCIP climate change scenarios for the 2020s and the 2050s?

Q3: Changes in visitor demand under two different socio-economic scenarios
What are the established trends in regional tourist demand and how might these patterns change under two differing socio-economic scenarios for the 2020s and 2050s?

Q4: Interaction of climate change and socio-economic change on regional visitor behaviour
Will there be interaction between questions 2 & 3 above, and how might the regional tourism business sector respond to these opportunities within the context of sustainable tourism?

Q5: Influence of climate change on environmental capacity
What do we mean by environmental capacity and how might this be influenced by climate change and related drivers (e.g. sea level rise) especially in the coastal zone and rural uplands?

Q6: Case study analysis of costed adaptation responses in vulnerable locations
What adaptive measures may be taken to sustain environmental capacity and the quality of the visitor experience on the coast and in the hills; will such measures be cost effective; which measures will be most appropriate?

Q7: Case study analysis of capacity building in less vulnerable locations
To what extent can new ‘climate proof’ capacity be generated in less vulnerable locations, including Regional Park Resources; will this result in win-win solutions in terms of adaptation to and mitigation of climate change impacts?

Q8: Interaction with related sectors especially farming, forestry, health and transport
How will regional tourist development interact with other key sectors (notably agriculture, forestry, health and transport) in the face of socio-economic and climate change?